Preview

Proceedings of Southwest State University. Series: History and Law

Advanced search

The Revival of the Taliban in Afghanistan in the Context of the Withdrawal of American Forces: Prospects for the Movement and Relations with Russia

https://doi.org/10.21869/2223-1501-2022-12-4-163-172

Abstract

Relevance. The coming to power of the Taliban movement in Afghanistan significantly actualizes new scenarios for the development of the country in political and socio-economic terms. At the same time, this event raises issues of international recognition of the movement and the development of the country's foreign relations on the world stage, the role of the United States and Russia in the current situation. In this regard, an analysis of the prospects for the development of the political situation in the country against the background of the withdrawal of US troops, an assessment of the geopolitical situation in the region and Russia's role in this process seem to be the most popular topics today.
The purpose of the study is to analyze the prospects for the political development of Afghanistan in the conditions of the coming to power of the Taliban movement and the withdrawal of US troops and the role of the country on the international arena.
The objectives of the study are to analyze the prerequisites for the coming to power of the Taliban movement; to assess possible scenarios of the political course of the movement; to determine the role of the United States in political processes in the country and the significance of the withdrawal of troops in the events under consideration; to analyze the prospects for international recognition of the Taliban; to assess the prospects of the geopolitical situation in the region and relations with Russia.
Methodology. The study used methods of analysis and synthesis, as well as systematic and comparative methods, which made it possible to draw conclusions about the current specifics of the political situation in the country.
The results of the study are of a theoretical and applied nature and can be taken into account in further studies of the political development of Afghanistan, including in the international arena.
Conclusion. The prospects for the political development of Afghanistan and its recognition in the international arena will largely be determined by the course that the Taliban movement chooses for itself, namely, whether the movement will be ready to continue the moderate and balanced domestic policy that was demonstrated at the initial stage of government. In this context, as part of the development of external relations, it is very important for the movement to build a new image and build partnerships with Russia.

About the Author

Abdul Farooq Bahadari
Badakhshan University; RUDN University
Russian Federation

Lecturer Department of Political Science and International Relations, Law, and Political Science Faculty

Faizabad, Afghanistan;

Post-Graduate Student of Department of Comparative Political Science

6  Miklukho-Maklaya Str., Moscow 117198



References

1. Kuleshova N. S., Podcerob A. B. Politicheskij islam [Political Islam]. Moscow, Mosk. Univ. Publ., 2020. 147 p.

2. Korgun V. [The Afghan conflict and Central Asia]. Rossijsko-tureckij dialog po problemam Central'noj Azii i Kavkaza: Istoriya i sovremennost'. Materialy Mezhdunarodnoj nauchno-prakticheskoj konferencii [Russian-Turkish dialogue on the problems of Central Asia and the Caucasus: History and Modernity. Materials of the International scientific and practical conference]. Moscow, Mosk. Gumanit. Univ. Publ., 2010. 313 p. (In Russ.).

3. Vasecova E. S. Dvizhenie "Taliban" i ego rol' v regional'nyh politicheskih processah [The Taliban movement and its role in regional political processes]. Social'no-gumanitarnye znaniya = Socio-humanitarian Knowledge, 2020, no. 5, pp. 244–254. https://doi.org/10.34823/SGZ.2020.5.51455.

4. Davydov A.D. Rezhim talibov v Afganistane. Zhestkaya islamizaciya [The Taliban regime in Afghanistan. Rigid Islamization]. Afganistan: vojna i problemy mira [Afghanistan: War and Peace problems]. Moscow, IIIiBV i IV RAN Publ., 1998. 176 p.

5. Merimskij V. A. Zagadki afganskoj vojny [The Mysteries of the Afghan War]. Moscow, Veche Publ., 2019. 398 p.

6. Kazancev A. A. Problema rosta islamskogo radikalizma v stranah Central'noj Azii [The problem of the growth of Islamic radicalism in Central Asian countries]. Mezhdunarodnaya analitika = International analytics, 2016, no. 3 (17), pp. 97–111.

7. Nessar O. Afganistan v lovushke neopredelennosti [Afghanistan is trapped in uncertainty]. Rossiya v global'noj politike = Russia in Global Politics, 2011, no. 2. Available at: https://glokalaffairs.ru/articles/afganistan-v-lovushke-neopredelennosti/ (accessed 25.05.2022).

8. Tamim E. M. Afganskij krizis i problemy ego uregulirovaniya (1988–2009 gg.). Avtoref. diss. kand. ist. nauk [The Afghan crisis and the problems of its settlement (1988-2009). Cand. hist. sci. abstract diss.]. Moscow, RUDN Publ., 2010. 23 p.

9. Stepanova E. A. Afganistan: perspektivy politicheskogo uregulirovaniya [Afghanistan: prospects for a political settlement]. Puti k miru i bezopasnosti = Ways to peace and security, 2012, no. 1(42), pp. 18–33.

10. Mirzoev S. T. Afganistan: vyzovy i ugrozy [Afghanistan: challenges and threats]. Dushanbe, Irfon Publ., 2017. 319 p.

11. Marchenko V. Afganskij razlom. Istoki mirovogo terrorizma [The Afghan rift. The origins of global terrorism]. St. Petersburg, Piter Publ., 2018. 255 p.

12. Lavrov A. Yu. Politicheskij islam v Afganistane [Political Islam in Afghanistan]. Moscow, Bishkek, 2010. 179 p.

13. Sazhenov N. D. Vnutrennie faktory vo vneshnej politike Afganistana na sovremennom etape (2001 – nachalo 2020 g.) [Internal factors in Afghanistan's foreign policy at the present stage (2001 – early 2020).]. Moscow, In-t vostokovedeniya RAN Publ., 2020. 220 p.

14. Amini A. R. Prichiny provala missii SSHA+NATO v Afganistane i prognoz situacii v strane pri "Novom rezhime" [Reasons for the failure of the US mission+NATO in Afghanistan and the forecast of the situation in the country under the "New Regime"]. POLITBOOK, 2021, no. 3, pp. 99–110.

15. Yakubov I. H., Nuriddinov U. K. Afganskij faktor v Central'noj Azii: tekushchie tendencii i perspektivy razvitiya [The Afghan factor in Central Asia: current trends and development prospects]. Postsovetskie issledovaniya = Post-Soviet studies, 2021, vol. 4, no. 6, pp. 470–478.

16. Mahmudov U. B. Rezkij povorot v Afganskoj politike SSHA ili konec statusa "nadziratelya mira" [A sharp turn in US Afghan policy or the end of the status of "peace warden"]. Colloquium-journal, 2022, no. 1 (124), pt. 1, pp. 16–18.

17. Sergeev V. V. Politika SSHA v Afganistane: voenno-politicheskij aspekt (2001-2009). Diss. kand. ist. nauk [U.S. Policy in Afghanistan: Military-political aspect (2001-2009). Cand. hist. sci. diss.]. Moscow, MGIMO Publ., 2011.

18. Yakovlev A. Osobennosti razvitiya vnutripoliticheskoj obstanovki v Afganistane [Features of the development of the domestic political situation in Afghanistan]. Zarubezhnoe voennoe obozrenie = Foreign Military Review, 2019, no. 6, pp. 24–29.

19. Namatov M. A., Lambal' A. Taliby v Afganistane: scenarii razvitiya [The Taliban in Afghanistan: scenarios of development]. Bol'shaya Evraziya: razvitie, bezopasnost', sotrudnichestvo = Greater Eurasia: development, security, cooperation, 2022, no. 5, pt. 1, pp. 233–235.

20. Machitidze G. G. Afganskij izlom v zerkale rossijskoj politiki: Rossiya i dvizhenie "Taliban" [The Afghan Fracture in the Mirror of Russian Politics: Russia and the Taliban Movement]. Rossiya i sovremennyj mir = Russia and the Modern World, 2022, no. 1(114), pp. 6–21. https://doi.org/10.34823/SGZ.2020.5.51455.


Review

For citations:


Bahadari A. The Revival of the Taliban in Afghanistan in the Context of the Withdrawal of American Forces: Prospects for the Movement and Relations with Russia. Proceedings of Southwest State University. Series: History and Law. 2022;12(4):163-172. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21869/2223-1501-2022-12-4-163-172

Views: 154


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2223-1501 (Print)